Character introduction Elon Musk Elon Musk was born on June 28, 1971 in Pretoria, the administrative capital of South Africa (now known as Tshwane). He has dual nationality of Canada and the United States, entrepreneur, engineer, and philanthropist.
U.S. and Israeli warplanes were still circling overhead, and air strikes covered almost the entire territory of Iran. But if you are walking on the streets of Tehran, the capital, you will definitely doubt your eyes.
There is no panic here, no panic buying. Supermarket shelves are packed to the brim, street cafes are still fragrant, and everyone is even having dinner and chatting as usual. Why are Iranians so calm in the face of the clouds of war? Because this country is showing a cohesion that makes people gasp.
Qalibaf, Speaker of Iran’s Islamic Parliament, recently revealed a set of horrifying statistics. He publicly announced on social media that in less than a week, about 7 million people across the country actively registered and were ready to take up arms to defend the country. You know, Iran’s total population is only over 90 million.
These 7 million people are only reserve forces. Counting Iran's original 1 million active and reserve troops, if it really comes to a life-and-death moment, Iran can pull out a huge team of nearly 8 million people in an instant. Even if some of these 7 million people are engaged in logistics and transporting supplies, this kind of mobilization efficiency of all people as soldiers is enough to deter any opponent.
An even more shocking scene happened overseas. According to common sense, normal people would hide outside during the war, but the Iranians are staged an epic and most powerful retrograde. At the border crossing between Türkiye and Iran, a large number of Iranians doing business and working overseas are rushing home like crazy.
After some people settled their wives and children abroad, they resolutely turned around and returned home. There was even a scene in front of the CCTV camera: a young man who had overseas residence status and had been living in Europe for 12 years even gave up the comfortable life in Europe and rushed directly into the camera and shouted: I want to return to Iran to defend the country! Iranians will never abandon their motherland and just run for their own lives!
At the rear, ordinary people also fought hard. People rummaged through the boxes and took out all the belongings at the bottom of the boxes. Donate gold and silver jewelry, bracelets and earrings, or even your own wedding ring. Farmers in remote villages and towns are more practical and directly take their cattle, sheep and livestock to support the country.
Although the water supply of some cities in southern Tehran was cut off by the explosion, rescue workers struggled to clear the scene among the rubble, and residents looked at the destruction of their homes with tears, but they turned around and jumped into the wave of national support. This bloody spirit has even crossed national borders, arousing strong resonance among people of the same faith in surrounding areas.
In the Indian-controlled Kashmir area, local people are also spontaneously supporting. The women took off their gold and silver jewelry without hesitation, and some families even donated their ancestral bronze vessels. A 9-year-old girl resolutely took out her favorite piggy bank, and another girl donated the gold earrings full of emotional memories left to her by her grandmother.
Speaker Qalibaf publicly stated that the country is ready to shed blood and sacrifice. We are not warlike people, but whenever we need to defend our homeland, each of us will become a warrior on this land. In the face of ruins and crises, this national resilience that would rather die than surrender may be their real trump card.
【Focus on】
•Six departments issued documents to better serve the real economy and promote high-quality development of e-commerce
•The number of traffic trips during the Qingming Festival in 2026 is expected to exceed 845 million
•Heavy rain and strong wind warnings: "Southern rain" and "Northern wind" continue to play the leading role in the national weather
•British media: The US-Iran ceasefire agreement may come into effect on the 6th
•Advisor of Iran’s Supreme Leader warns the United States: It may block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as a countermeasure
【Domestic News】
•Six departments including the Ministry of Commerce recently issued the "Guiding Opinions on Better Serving the Real Economy and Promoting High-Quality Development of E-Commerce", which aims to continue to promote high-quality development of e-commerce, high-level openness, and high-efficiency governance, and better serve the consolidation and growth of the real economy. The opinions coordinate promotion and regulation, efficiency and fairness, vitality and order, and propose 16 measures in 5 aspects to build a high-quality e-commerce development framework system. In terms of focusing on empowerment and efficiency improvement, the opinions propose three measures to help small and medium-sized enterprises transform, deepen rural e-commerce, and cultivate industrial e-commerce, so as to give full play to the advantages of e-commerce to help consolidate and strengthen the foundation of the real economy. In terms of strengthening innovation leadership, the opinions propose three measures: accelerating the application of technological innovation, vigorously developing quality consumption, and actively creating integrated carriers to deepen online and offline integration and help achieve a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. In terms of promoting high-level opening up, the opinions propose four measures: promoting cross-border e-commerce, expanding "Silk Road e-commerce", accelerating institutional opening, and promoting the convergence of rules to jointly build and share China's e-commerce market.
•According to the Ministry of Transport, during this year’s Tomb Sweeping Day holiday (April 4 to 6), the number of cross-regional personnel movements in society is expected to be 845.378 million, with an average daily average of 281.79 million people, an increase of 6% compared to the same period last year during the Tomb Sweeping Day holiday in 2025. According to the relevant person in charge of the Ministry of Transport, on the first day of the holiday, the national highway traffic volume exceeded 62.67 million vehicles, including more than 14 million new energy vehicles. The strong self-driving travel has driven double-digit growth in the consumption of scenic spots, hotels, and car rentals. In addition, returns to hometowns for memorial services and in-depth rural tours have brought "popularity" to rural areas and promoted the spread of consumption from central cities to the entire urban and rural areas.
•According to China State Railway Group Co., Ltd., on April 6, the national railways will usher in the peak return passenger flow during the holidays, with an estimated 20.8 million passengers and 1,369 additional passenger trains planned. On April 5, railways across the country carried 14.756 million passengers, and transportation was safe, stable and orderly.
•The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue blue rainstorm warnings and strong wind blue warnings on the morning of the 6th. There were moderate to heavy rains, local heavy rains or heavy rains in central and southern Jiangnan, northern South China and other places. There were strong winds in the eastern part of northwest China, most of Inner Mongolia, northern and western parts of North China, and northeastern regions. Starting from the night of the 7th, the southern precipitation area will move northward. From the 8th to the 9th, there will be moderate to heavy rains, local heavy rains or heavy rains in some areas of Jianghuai, southern Jianghan, northern Jiangnan and Chongqing, accompanied by strong convective weather such as short-term heavy rainfall.
•According to China General Nuclear Power Group Co., Ltd., on the 6th, the CGN Tibet Damxung Umatang 50-MW CSP trough solar thermal power plant officially started construction in Umatang Township, Damxung County, Lhasa City. The project site is 4,550 meters above sea level. It can achieve continuous power generation at night and flexible peak regulation, providing stable, reliable and clean power support for the Tibet power grid.
【International News】
• Reuters quoted a source on the 6th as saying that the United States and Iran have received a plan for a ceasefire agreement, which may take effect on the 6th. The plan envisages an immediate ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, followed by a final agreement within 15 to 20 days.
•Informed South Korean officials said on the 6th that the ruling Democratic Party and the government reached an agreement on the same day to send special envoys to Saudi Arabia, Oman and Algeria to open up crude oil import channels to make up for the crude oil gap caused by blocked shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
•According to Japanese media reports on the 5th, affected by the situation in the Middle East, Japan's crude oil imports dropped sharply, causing widespread concern. The Japanese government is considering additional releases of national oil reserves in May, equivalent to about 20 days of Japan's consumption.
•Iran’s supreme leader’s foreign affairs adviser Velayati warned the United States on the 5th that if it “makes another mistake,” the Iranian-led resistance front will block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as a countermeasure.
•According to a Reuters report on the 5th, an oil tanker carrying Iraqi crude oil has passed through the Strait of Hormuz and will be unloaded at a relevant port in Malaysia in mid-April. Citing unnamed sources, the media reported that Iran allowed a number of ships linked to Malaysia to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, according to Qatar’s Al Jazeera TV station, Iran stated that it would allow Iraq to use the Strait of Hormuz without restrictions.
•Since April 5, Australia and New Zealand have entered winter time, and their financial market trading hours and economic data release times will be delayed by one hour compared to daylight saving time. Starting from the 6th, the trading hours of the Australian and New Zealand stock markets will be 8:00-14:00 Beijing time.
•The spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on the 6th that Iran is ready to respond to the mediator and will report it in time if necessary.
Kunming Metallurgical Vocational University is a public undergraduate-level vocational college. Its predecessor was the Gejiu Mining Technical School of Yunnan Province, which was founded in 1952. In 1954, it moved to Kunming and was renamed Kunming Nonferrous Metals Industrial School. In 1958, it was renamed Kunming Metallurgical Industrial School. In 1978, it opened a junior college to recruit junior college classes in mining and surveying. In 1980, it was identified as a national key technical secondary school, and in 1985 it was upgraded to College, renamed as Yunnan Mining and Metallurgical College; in 1992, renamed as Kunming Metallurgical College; in 2004, Kunming Metallurgical College, Yunnan Building Materials Industry School, and Yunnan Circulation Economics School merged to form the new Kunming Metallurgical College A junior college, and was rated as excellent in the evaluation of the talent training level of higher vocational colleges across the country; it became a national model higher vocational college in 2011, and was recognized as a national high-quality junior college and higher vocational college in 2019. From 2019 to 2024, it was selected as the first The school was built in the first phase of the National "Double High Plan" and passed the acceptance inspection with "excellence". It was selected as a construction unit of the second phase of the National "Double High Plan" in 2025. In February 2026, the Ministry of Education approved the establishment of Kunming Metallurgical Vocational University based on Kunming Metallurgical College.
The school was awarded the National Advanced Unit for Vocational Education, the First National Excellent Vocational Education School of Huang Yanpei, and the National Outstanding Contribution Award for Skilled Talent Cultivation. It has jumped to 19th in the comprehensive competitiveness rankings of China's higher vocational colleges in 2025, ranking 4th in the western region and 9th among science and engineering higher vocational colleges nationwide.
In the great journey of national development and changes of the times, the school has gone through several name changes and school site changes, always adhering to the original intention of vocational education, actively adapting to the national metallurgical industry and Yunnan's economic and social development in different periods, and cultivating more than 140,000 high-quality technical and technical talents who have taken root in the front lines of production, construction, and services inside and outside the province.
The conditions for running schools are excellent. The school covers a total area of 1,465.02 acres, with a beautiful campus environment and a strong engineering culture; its teaching equipment and internship training base are at the leading level. It has a high-level teaching team that is “led by famous teachers, integrated with dual teachers, and has a reasonable structure”. There are 1 “National University Huang Danian-style Teacher Team”, 2 national-level teaching teams, 2 national-level vocational education teacher teaching innovation teams, 2 national-level skill master studios and 4 provincial-level vocational education teacher teaching innovation teams. A large number of national teaching teachers, young and middle-aged experts who have made outstanding contributions to the “National Hundreds and Thousands of Talents Project”, leading talents in scientific and technological innovation of the national “High-level Talent Support Plan”, experts with national and provincial subsidies, etc. The school has established a number of high-quality teaching resources such as national-level quality courses, resource sharing courses, ideological and political demonstration courses, vocational education teaching resource library and national planned teaching materials, and was awarded the "Top 50 Teaching Resources in Higher Vocational Colleges". He took the lead in building a national teaching resource library for non-ferrous metallurgy and engineering measurement technology, and built the country's first national-level virtual simulation training base for non-ferrous metallurgy. Take the lead in formulating 6 professional national standards in 2 major categories: energy power and materials, resources environment and safety.
Distinctive professional features. With engineering as the main body, metallurgy as the specialty, and non-ferrous metals as the focus, the school focuses on the development needs of new productive forces and has established 2 national-level professional groups, 2 provincial-level high-level professional groups, and 5 school-level advantageous and characteristic professional groups, covering 12 major categories. According to the comprehensive competitiveness evaluation results of higher vocational majors and high-level professional groups in 2025, in the evaluation of professional groups, professional categories, professional categories and professional classifications, the school ranks first in the country in 7 items and is at a leading level. The school is a national training base for high-skilled talents in the metallurgical industry, a national demonstration base for training technical and skilled talents in the metallurgical industry, and a winner of the Outstanding Contribution Award for Cultivation of Skilled Talents in the Non-ferrous Metals Industry. The enrollment of non-ferrous metal-related majors accounts for 50% of the total enrollment of non-ferrous metal-related majors in similar higher vocational schools across the country. It has become an important force supporting regional economic development and the development of the national non-ferrous metallurgical industry.
The effect of educating people is remarkable. Implementing the integrated talent training model of "job-course competition, certification and creation", creating the "Skills Culture Month" activity brand, it was awarded the "Revitalization Cup" National Youth Vocational Skills Competition Yunnan Provincial Training Base, established a school, provincial and national three-level skills competition system, hosted the National Vocational College Skills Competition higher vocational group competition for many times, and won the "National Vocational College Skills Competition Outstanding Contribution Award". In national and provincial skills competitions, the number and ranking of awards won by individual students and groups are at the leading level among similar institutions. Build a professional dynamic adjustment mechanism that links the three industries of "industry + profession + employment", and fully integrate the talent supply side and the industrial demand side.
The integration of industry and education is profound. The school has 2 national and provincial collaborative innovation centers for applied technology, 2 provincial-level grassroots expert workstations, 1 provincial-level maker space, 1 provincial-level academician expert workstation and a provincial-level digital twin international joint R&D center for green new energy energy storage materials industry chain. As a "Modern Apprenticeship" unit of the Ministry of Education, it has carried out "integrated" school-enterprise cooperation with Fortune 500 companies such as Chinalco, Baoshan Iron and Steel, JD.com, and leading enterprises in Yunnan to create a high-quality training platform for technical and skilled talents. He took the lead in establishing the "High Quality Development Alliance of Higher Vocational Colleges in the Western Frontier Region", the Yunnan Metallurgical and Mining Vocational Education Group, the Yunnan Green Building Vocational Education Group, and the Yunnan New Business Vocational Education Alliance. He initiated the establishment of a ministry-provincial industry-education integration community for the nonferrous metal industry in Yunnan Province, and took the lead in the establishment of 13 Yunnan Province industry-education integration communities and 1 city-wide industry-education consortium, bringing together the superior resources of schools and enterprises for collaborative innovation. Construct an industrial college paradigm of "1 professional group + 1 chain owner enterprise + N ecological enterprises" to form an industrial service matrix that closely matches development needs. It has formed three core technology innovation systems in the field of nonferrous metallurgy, promoted industry process innovation, cost reduction and efficiency improvement, and achieved deep integration of scientific research innovation and industrial application. It won the second prize of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Science and Technology Award and 11 scientific and technological achievement awards.
The service support is strong. The school is a national key construction base for vocational education teacher training and training, a national "double-qualified" teacher training and training base, and a national "education, science, culture, health, sports and industry craftsman college" construction unit. Schools and enterprises have jointly built multiple examination and training bases to form a mature non-academic training and education system. The school's graduates' destination implementation rate has always been at the leading level among similar institutions, and it has been awarded the title of "National Advanced Group for Employment of Graduates from General Colleges and Universities" and "Top 50 National Graduates with Typical Employment Experience". Actively assisting rural revitalization and regional economic and social development, it was selected as an "Excellent School for Talent Cultivation" and "Excellent School for Service and Contribution" (ranked first in Yunnan Province) in China's annual vocational education quality report.
International exchanges are extensive. "Introducing" high-quality educational resources has achieved positive results in running schools, and it has cooperated with high-quality foreign universities such as Anhalt University of Applied Sciences in Germany, the Belarusian National Academy of Agricultural Sciences, and St. Clair College in Canada to organize 6 Sino-foreign cooperative education projects. Vocational education goes overseas to serve the “One Belt and One Road” initiative and shows new responsibilities for Lancang-Mekong vocational education. There are currently overseas school-running projects such as the Huagang Mining Chinese Workshop in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Lanmei Workshop (Laos Potassium International Training Center), China-Kenya College of Architectural Engineering, and the China-Cambodia “Belt and Road” E-commerce Valley Base, creating a new brand and new paradigm for Yunnan’s vocational education overseas. Developed and launched nearly 70 international professional standard teaching resources and 15 bilingual (Chinese, English) and trilingual (Chinese, English, Indonesian) international textbooks. Continuously expand the recruitment of international students from Laos, Vietnam and other countries along the “Belt and Road”. It has been ranked among the top 50 most influential higher vocational colleges in the world, one of the top 50 most influential vocational colleges in the Asia-Pacific, a five-star institution in the Asia-Pacific Vocational College Influence Index, and was selected as the first batch of member units of the World Vocational and Technical Education Development Alliance.
Facing the future, the school will keep in mind its mission of educating people for the party and the country, implement the fundamental task of cultivating people with moral character, adhere to the positioning of vocational education types, take serving the national strategy and Yunnan's economic and social development as its own responsibility, deepen the connotation construction, strengthen characteristic development, and strive to build a high-level vocational undergraduate university with engineering as the main body, metallurgy as the feature, and non-ferrous metals as the focus, based in Yunnan, facing the whole country, radiating to South Asia and Southeast Asia, and making new and greater contributions to industrial transformation and upgrading and high-quality development.
(Updated March 2026)
On September 29, the Chinese Embassy in Japan reminded Chinese citizens to pay attention to travel safety during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays. The full text is as follows:
The National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival are approaching. In view of the recent frequent safety accidents during travel to Japan, the Chinese Embassy in Japan reminds Chinese citizens in Japan and tourists visiting Japan to pay attention to travel safety and guard against various risks.
1. Improve safety awareness
Japan is prone to natural disasters and security cases are on the rise. Please understand the weather conditions and safety situation in relevant areas of Japan in advance, and pay attention to local weather warnings and disaster prevention information. Avoid traveling at night or in bad weather, avoid going to undeveloped areas that lack safety guarantees, carefully choose outdoor high-risk tourism projects such as paragliding, mountain climbing, and wading, and avoid going to areas with complex crowds and chaotic public security. Remember that “you are the first person responsible for your own safety.”
2. Make preparations before departure
Make sure that the passport and visa information match and are within the validity period, properly keep property documents, keep emergency contact information for relatives, embassies and consulates, etc., and reserve copies of identity documents. Learn more about the customs entry declaration requirements and truthfully fill out the customs declaration form when bringing gold into the country.
3. Purchase medical insurance
Short-term tourists coming to Japan may face high medical expenses if they receive treatment in Japan in case of emergencies because they have not joined the Japanese National Health Insurance. For foreign patients who do not participate in Japanese medical insurance, some hospitals charge medical fees at 2-3 times the self-pay price for Japanese citizens. It is strongly recommended that tourists coming to Japan purchase medical insurance in advance to prepare for emergencies. Failure to pay medical fees will affect your next entry into Japan.
4. Strengthen safety precautions
Recently, there has been some anti-foreign sentiment in Japanese society, and there have been many cases of attacks on Chinese citizens. China has made solemn representations to Japan. It is recommended to pay close attention to the situation around you when going out, stay away from election rallies and demonstrations, and avoid going to sensitive areas and crowded places. If you encounter targeted discrimination or disputes, stay calm, respond appropriately, avoid physical conflicts, ensure personal safety, and pay attention to preserving evidence. In case of emergency, report the incident to the Japanese police promptly and keep the receipt.
5. Travel safely and civilly
Abide by local laws and regulations, respect local religious beliefs and customs, and take photos, videos, and use of drones in compliance with local regulations. Pay attention to traffic rules, ensure safety when passing railway crossings, and do not stay inside crossings. When traveling by car, please understand the process of applying for a legal driver's license in advance and complete all the procedures for "self-driving travel".
6. Beware of telecommunications fraud
The Chinese Embassy and Consulates in Japan, the Chinese Public Security Bureau, and the Japanese Immigration and Residence Management Department will not notify the parties by phone that they are suspected of committing a crime or that important documents and packages are waiting to be picked up. Do not disclose personal information to strangers, let alone transfer money easily. If you have any questions, you can contact the embassy or consulate in Japan by phone or email for further verification.
※Relevant contact information
After the war between the United States and Israel lasted for more than a month, the world's attention has focused on the Strait of Hormuz: Is the Strait open? How many ships pass here every day? These questions affect every nerve of the global financial market.
Recently, a quietly released research report attracted worldwide attention.
·Cover of "Research Report on the Strait of Hormuz". (Citrini Research official X platform)
This "Strait of Hormuz Survey Report" comes from Citrini Research, an independent research organization in the United States. The lead author is quite mysterious and is code-named "Analyst No. 3" within the agency.
Completely different from his colleagues who sat in the office looking through second-hand data and piecing together satellite images, this analyst chose an extremely "hard-core" research method - he personally flew to the Strait of Hormuz to count ships, look at waterways, and chat with local fishermen and crews.
"Analyst No. 3" revealed a surprising discovery in the report: Under the current tense situation in the Strait of Hormuz, the automatic identification system (AIS) data of ships published by commercial platforms may miss about 50% of the actual passing ships on any given day.
He analyzed that the main reason for underreporting is that more and more ships actively turn off their AIS transponders or submit false identification information to avoid tracking. However, the estimate of "Analyst No. 3" has not been independently verified by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) or other official agencies.
In addition to the on-site findings, "Analyst No. 3" also recorded the thrilling moments of inspection and detention he encountered along the way in his report, word for word. The first reaction of many people after reading the report is: "This is not like a financial macro analysis, but more like a battlefield reconnaissance log."
The person who sent this "Analyst No. 3" into the dangerous situation was James Van Gillen, the founder of Citrini Research.
·Citrini Research announced that it will send analysts to the Strait of Hormuz for on-site investigation. (Citrini Research official X platform)
"This matter,
I can tell my grandchildren about it forever.”
Before departure, "Analyst No. 3" planned a four-day research trip in the office in Manhattan, New York: first, he met with shipbrokers and commodity traders in Dubai, then went to Fujairah to observe idle oil tankers and bombed oil storage depots, then entered Oman's Musandam Province, and finally managed to board the ship close to the coast of Iran.
Fujairah was chosen because it is the only port among the seven emirates of the United Arab Emirates that is on the Arabian Sea rather than the Persian Gulf. It is located about 140 kilometers south of the exit of the Strait of Hormuz. Because of their geographical location outside the strait, both Saudi Arabia and Abu Dhabi have laid oil pipelines that bypass the strait to transport crude oil directly to Fujairah for export, making it a strategic backup export node in the case of a strait blockade.
·A four-day research trip planned by Analyst No. 3. (Citrini Research official X platform)
In addition to meticulous itinerary planning, "Analyst No. 3" is also proficient in four languages including Arabic. For this trip, he was equipped with a Pelican protective case (a high-strength protective transport case with a low-profile appearance), which contained US$15,000 (approximately RMB 109,000) in cash, a pair of smart video sunglasses, a set of marine beacons, gimbals, microphone equipment and a Xiaomi mobile phone with a large zoom. Seemingly well-prepared, trouble quickly ensued from the moment they crossed the Omani border.
·The equipment carried by "Analyst No. 3". (Citrini Research official X platform)
Before entering Oman, a senior official wearing a robe and expensive perfume took him into a back room and questioned him about his personal information and even his religious beliefs. "Analyst No. 3" lied that he was a tourist, but was still forced to sign a commitment prohibiting photography and intelligence collection. Fortunately, when officials opened the protective box for inspection, they found no gimbal, microphone set and smart video sunglasses.
"Analyst No. 3" thought he had passed the test, but he didn't know that the real test was yet to come. After arriving at the hotel in Hassab, the capital of Oman, he found that due to the war, only three guests were staying in hundreds of rooms, and the beach was "empty." He looked around for a boat to go out to sea, but was rejected time and time again by fishermen, tour guides, and hotel employees. Finally, he met a local named Hamid by a small canal. "Analyst No. 3" asked Hamid to take him overseas with a wad of cash.
Just when everything seemed to be turning around, at 9 o'clock that night, agents from the local Criminal Investigation Bureau knocked on his door, took him to the police station, searched him, put him in solitary confinement, and repeatedly tested whether he was a foreign spy.
In the end, "Analyst No. 3" was returned to the hotel, thinking that the investigation was going to ruin. Subsequently, he reported the mission failure to Citrini Research headquarters through encryption software, and the headquarters also advised him to give up.
But a few minutes later, a sense of mission came over him, and he sent Hamid a message: "What if we insist on going to sea?" The other party replied: "Whatever, we are not afraid of the police!"
Early the next morning, Hamid drove a 40-year-old dilapidated speedboat without GPS to carry Analyst 3 out of the port.
Hamid's boat deliberately passed another ship at high speed, evading Oman's coast guard, and then quietly sailed along the coast toward Iran. The sea surface was bumpy, and a patrol drone hovered above the two men's heads. They could even hear the hum of the drone's propeller. The speedboat speeds towards the fishing village of Kumzar. Kumzar Fishing Village is a fishing village in the northernmost part of Musandam Province in Oman. It faces Iran across the Strait of Hormuz. The straight-line distance is less than 50 kilometers. It is one of the inhabited settlements closest to Iran in Oman.
After arriving at the fishing village of Kumzar, "Analyst No. 3" sat on the ground and ate bread with the fishermen, and learned secrets that satellites could never capture: four to five oil tankers pass quietly every day with their identification systems turned off, and the actual shipping volume far exceeds the public data; Iran has built a "toll station" in the Strait of Hormuz. All approved ships must divert the waterway between Qeshm and Larak islands (both islands belong to Iran), submit ownership, cargo manifest and crew information, and pay a toll (cash or cryptocurrency) to pass.
Towards the end of the investigation, "Analyst No. 3" decided to risk being spotted by a drone and jump into the strait for a swim just 18 kilometers away from the Iranian coast. However, this risky move caused trouble: on the way back, the coast guard intercepted them, took him to the port prison specially designed for smugglers, and confiscated his mobile phone. He was later released and returned alone to the empty hotel bar where he drank 11 beers. He wrote in the report: "I can tell my grandchildren about this for a lifetime."
The conclusion of this trip subverted all predictions: Although the conflict is escalating, shipping volume in the Strait is picking up. On April 2, he personally counted 15 ships passing through, compared with two to five ships per day two weeks ago. Iran has not completely blocked the strait.
The description in the report by "Analyst No. 3" gives people a real sense of the situation - drones draw circles overhead, and oil tankers glide by like ghosts in the distance. The report also revealed that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz cannot be viewed in black-and-white binary terms. The world is much more complex than what any investment bank report describes.
He wrote at the end of the report: "This conflict is not a simple 'two-sided confrontation', but a multi-party game. Who will be the winner in the end will not be determined by military victory, but by the reorganization of the world's multi-polar pattern."
"Outliers" in the financial circle
After this 32,000-word report was released, it was quickly reprinted and interpreted by many financial media around the world. Subsequently, data from Bloomberg provided strong evidence: a total of 21 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz that weekend, setting the highest traffic volume since this round of war, indirectly verifying the report's judgment that "the traffic volume exceeded expectations."
As the report attracted attention, people's attention focused on the organization behind the report: Citrini Research and founder Van Gillen.
·James Van Gillen (Citrini Research official website)
The 33-year-old Van Gilen is an out-and-out "alien" in the financial circle - he is neither an elite on Wall Street nor does he come from a financial family. Before becoming an investor, he worked as an EMT in Los Angeles and has degrees in biology and psychology.
At the end of 2022, Van Gilen emerged on Wall Street. At that time, the market was still immersed in the carnival of technology stocks, but he publicly shorted Silicon Valley Bank, warning that this seemingly stable institution hid huge risks.
In March 2023, Silicon Valley Bank collapsed suddenly, and its bankruptcy case became the second largest bank bankruptcy case in U.S. history. Van Gilen's "prophecy" attracted the attention of Wall Street. Someone asked him why he challenged the judgment of the entire market. He said: "The standard of judgment depends entirely on whether your idea is excellent, not your origin."
In 2023, Van Gielen founded Citrini Research on the blogging platform Substack. Today, this small organization with only 10 employees has more than 170,000 paid subscribers on the platform, ranking first among financial institutions on the platform.
But this is just a prelude. What really turned him from a "niche star on Wall Street" to a global focus was a 7,000-word report released in February 2026 - "The Global Intelligence Crisis in 2028."
According to the deduction of the report, AI will replace white-collar jobs at an exponential rate in the future, a large number of highly skilled talents will be unemployed, consumption power will collapse, and the economy will fall into deflation.
The sentence in the report that makes Wall Street executives the most uneasy is: "Many of what people call 'business relationships' are just 'frictions' with a friendly mask." The report believes that when AI agents become everyone's all-round stewards, those business models built on information asymmetry and human inertia will be uprooted. For example, the processing fees of Visa and MasterCard will be unacceptable "friction costs" in the eyes of AI.
Soon, the report triggered a commotion on Wall Street. On Monday after the report was released, the Dow Jones index plummeted 800 points after the opening, and the S&P 500 index fell more than 1%.
·The big screen of the New York Stock Exchange showed that the Dow Jones Index (DJI) fell by 816.80 points. (New York Stock Exchange)
Afterwards, Van Gilen admitted in an interview that the scenario described in this report had only a 10% to 15% probability of happening in his opinion, and he was "very surprised" by the market's violent reaction. He explained that the purpose of releasing the report is not to create panic, but to try to start a discussion and prepare society for this potential scenario, thereby reducing the probability of it actually happening.
"Battlefield Analyst" in the Investment World
Van Gilen is a low-key person, and there are no photos anywhere on the Internet. In the few public statements he made, he left some impressive quotes.
In response to the market's excessive panic about the report, he said: "Had I known it would cause such a big stock market fluctuation, I would never have made it public for free." As for why he adopted such hard-core on-site investigation methods, his answer was simple and sharp: "Morgan Stanley would not send investment analysts to Fujairah."
The media's evaluation of Citrini Research shows clear polarization. Spain's "Economist" commented that it is "not an investment bank nor a traditional analysis institution, but an independent macro and thematic research institution that focuses on identifying major market trends such as artificial intelligence and energy and converting them into investment ideas." The U.S. Consumer News and Business Channel called it "the company that shocked the market earlier this year with a provocative bearish report on artificial intelligence."
China Securities Journal commented on the on-site research practice of "Analyst No. 3": There are war reporters in the news world, and there are "battlefield analysts" in the investment world. This report was also praised by some financial professionals as "one of the greatest research reports in history" because it "abandoned the practice of most researchers typing on the keyboard in the office, and actually conducted actual investigations like a war reporter."
However, some media also questioned Van Gilen's professionalism because he did not have a financial analyst qualification certificate.
In any case, market data has verified Van Gilen's vision. Since May 2023, his personal portfolio has returned more than 200%. This may indicate that Van Gielen, relying on his own judgment and courage, has already opened a crack in the market with high information barriers.
Producer: Zhang Pei
Editor: Yu Chijiang
The 2025 spring enrollment and vocational education college entrance examination admissions are about to begin. Recently, our school has received reports from some candidates and parents that a few training institutions, social intermediaries or personnel in the society are known as "Kunming Metallurgical College" and "Kunming Metallurgical College". In the names of "Kunming Metallurgical College" and "Kunming Metallurgical College", we organize "pre-registration, pre-admission" and "exam training" for candidates, sign agreements with candidates to "guarantee admission to Kunming Metallurgical College", etc., charge candidates high fees and promise to admit. In this regard, our school solemnly declares:
1. Our school has never entrusted any training institution, social intermediary or individual to conduct enrollment promotion for our school or organize candidates to conduct training and simulation tests.
2. Our school’s 2025 enrollment will be strictly implemented in accordance with the relevant documents of the Ministry of Education, the Provincial Department of Education, and the Provincial Admissions Examination Authority.
3. Our school does not charge any fees to candidates for admission; after students are admitted, tuition fees, accommodation fees and other fees are strictly in accordance with the charging standards approved by the price department. The above fees are collected by the school finance office when new students register. The school does not entrust any organization or individual to collect any fees from candidates.
4. If any faculty member of our school illegally participates in enrollment, training, etc. in the name of the school, he or she shall bear full responsibility. The school will impose corresponding disciplinary sanctions depending on the circumstances, and those suspected of violating the law will be transferred to judicial authorities for processing. We hope that candidates and parents will be more vigilant and guard against being deceived.
5. Outsiders who make illegal promises to candidates in the name of "Kunming Metallurgical College" have nothing to do with the school. The school reserves the right to pursue legal liability against the above-mentioned personnel. We hope that candidates and parents will be more vigilant and guard against being deceived.
6. The methods and specific requirements for determining the qualifications for the exemption from the examination for top-notch talents in the Vocational Education College Entrance Examination shall be implemented in accordance with the "Yunnan Province 2025 Work Methods for the Exemption-Examination Recruitment of the Top-notch Vocational Education College Entrance Examination Skills". Students submit exemption materials to the school within the specified time, and the school will compile and report them to the Yunnan Provincial Department of Education. The review results will be subject to the announcement of the Yunnan Provincial Department of Education.
7. We would like to thank the candidates and parents for their concern and support for our school. We welcome all candidates to apply for our school.
Hereby declare!
Admissions consultation hotline: 0871-66051572
Kunming Metallurgical College
March 14, 2025
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