February 14th, today is Valentine’s Day, and it is also a holiday celebrated by many young couples. Many people will choose to register their marriage today, treating it as a day worth remembering.
As the smoke of the US-Iran conflict continues to fill the sky over the Middle East, the crisis in the two major energy channels has not yet been resolved, and another alarm that can shake up the global geopolitical structure has been sounded.
Serbian President Vucic publicly issued a heavy warning, pointing out that the authorities of Albania, Croatia and Kosovo are secretly colluding and coordinating actions, sharpening their knives and preparing for a joint attack on Serbia. The Balkan Peninsula, known as the "European powder keg", is once again standing on the precipice of war on the cusp of global turmoil.
The fuse in the powder keg has been lit: The Balkans are by no means an alarmist "crying wolf" story
Vucic's warning is by no means groundless, nor is it a political show by a politician, but an accurate prediction of the tense situation in the Balkans. A storm that can tear apart regional peace is quietly brewing. The Serbian president bluntly stated in a live broadcast on national radio and television: "They are forming an alliance to launch an attack on us. They are waiting for the opportunity for a major conflict to break out between the Europeans and Russia and a larger conflict in the Middle East. They want to wait for the right moment when the world falls into chaos to kill us." In a few words, Serbia's crisis situation was fully explained, and the sinister intentions of the three parties' joint containment were revealed.
The root cause of this crisis is the triple knot of historical grievances, ethnic conflicts and geopolitical competition, which have already laid hidden dangers that are difficult to resolve. The hatred between Serbia and Croatia, Albania and Kosovo has long been engraved in the national bone marrow: During World War II, the Independent State of Croatia supported by the Nazis carried out brutal ethnic cleansing against the Serbs, and tens of thousands of people were massacred. After the disintegration of Yugoslavia in 1991, the civil war between Serbia and Croatia lasted for four years. Tragedies such as the Siege of Dubrovnik and the Vukovar Massacre completely turned the two Slavic countries against each other. Now, as a member of NATO, Croatia maintains a high degree of vigilance and hostility towards Serbia. Kosovo is the "spiritual home" of Serbia. The Battle of Kosovo in the 14th century laid the foundation of Serbian civilization. However, due to the reversal of the population structure, more than 90% of the Albanians are obsessed with independence. Coupled with the support of Albania's "mother country", the concept of "Greater Albania" has made the two sides irreconcilable. NATO air strikes in 1999 and Kosovo's unilateral independence in 2008 have made the contradictions worse.
What is even more provocative is that in March 2025, the authorities of Albania, Croatia and Kosovo signed a defense cooperation declaration in Tirana, Albania, clearly proposing to "enhance defense capabilities, conduct joint exercises and training, and share intelligence information." This agreement was directly interpreted by the Serbian side as a military alliance against Serbia and a clear signal for the three parties to unite to contain.
Today, the Kosovo authorities continue to suppress the Serb people in the territory and promote the policy of "nationalizing" license plates and documents, constantly touching Serbia's bottom line; Croatia and Albania continue to strengthen their military support for Kosovo, and the military coordination among the three parties is becoming increasingly closer. At a time when the situation in the Middle East is out of control and global attention is distracted, this long-planned containment may break through the critical point at any time and completely detonate the "powder keg" of the Balkans. This is by no means alarmist.
Once the war breaks out: a geological disaster sweeping Europe and shaking the world
If the powder keg in the Balkans really explodes, the consequences will be far more disastrous than the conflict in the Middle East. It will not only plunge the region into bloody war, but also sweep the entire Europe, and even affect the global geopolitical structure, becoming another straw that crushes the global economic recovery. You know, the Balkan civil war in the 1990s caused hundreds of thousands of deaths and millions of people displaced. But once the conflict breaks out today, the scale and destructive power will only be even greater.
For the Balkans, war will mean a repeat of humanitarian disaster. The conflicts between Serbia and the three parties are deep-rooted. Once a war breaks out, national hatred will be completely ignited. The tragedy of ethnic cleansing, civilian casualties, and destruction of homes will be staged again. The number of displaced people will increase exponentially, and people's livelihood in the already fragile region will completely collapse. What's even more deadly is that there are a large number of Serb enclaves in Kosovo. Once the conflict breaks out, these Serb people will be the first victims, and retaliatory attacks from both sides will fall into a vicious cycle that will be difficult to end.
For Europe, this conflict will be an unbearable "geoquake". As a member of NATO, Croatia's war with Serbia will directly involve NATO and force NATO to respond. However, differences within NATO on the Balkans issue have long existed. Countries such as Britain, France, and Germany are trapped in energy difficulties and economic recession, and are simply unable to deal with a large-scale regional war. This will further tear apart the NATO system and intensify divisions within Europe. At the same time, the Balkan Peninsula is located in the hinterland of Europe and is a transportation hub connecting Europe and Asia. Once the war spreads, it will interrupt Europe's energy and trade channels, push up the cost of energy and people's livelihood in Europe, and the European economy, which is already in the shadow of recession, will completely fall into the abyss, and social unrest will also intensify.
Globally, the war in the Balkans will make the already turbulent geopolitical situation even worse. The situation in the Middle East has not yet calmed down, and the crises in the two major energy channels are still ongoing. The outbreak of the Balkan conflict will form a dual turbulent pattern of "Middle East + Europe". The global energy market and financial market will be severely impacted. Oil and food prices will soar again, and the global inflation crisis will further intensify. What is even more alarming is that the intervention of external forces will escalate the conflict into a battlefield of great power competition. Russia maintains close relations with Serbia, while NATO is on the side of Croatia and Albania. The confrontation between the two sides will further escalate and may even trigger a larger-scale conflict, putting global peace under severe test.
China’s weapons and sword: more than enough deterrence, the key to stopping the war lies in its own resilience
Facing the dangerous situation of three-party containment, Serbia is not without the power to fight back. The recent purchase of a series of advanced weapons from China has become an important source of confidence for the Vucic government and an important bargaining chip to contain the crisis. Vucic recently publicly confirmed that Serbia has purchased the CM-400AKG supersonic air-to-ground ballistic missile from China, becoming the first user of this type of weapon in Europe. This missile has a maximum range of 400 kilometers and can carry a blasting or penetrating warhead. It is extremely powerful. Serbia has modified the Soviet-made MiG-29 fighter jet so that it can mount the missile, forming a powerful air deterrent. In addition, Serbia has also purchased advanced equipment such as FK-3 air defense systems and CH-92A integrated surveillance and attack drones from China to build a complete air defense and ground strike system.
It is undeniable that the arrival of Chinese weapons has indeed injected a strong deterrent force into Serbia, making the authorities in Albania, Croatia and Kosovo dare not act rashly. The range of the CM-400AKG missile covers the core military facilities of the three parties. Once a war breaks out, Serbia can use this missile to carry out precise strikes against the three parties, causing them to pay a heavy price; the FK-3 air defense system can effectively resist aerial attacks by the three parties and protect Serbia's homeland security; the CH-92A integrated surveillance and strike drone can achieve all-weather monitoring, timely grasp the military trends of the three parties, and take the initiative on the battlefield. What's more worth mentioning is that this CM-400AKG missile was used in actual combat in the India-Pakistan conflict and successfully attacked the Indian S-400 air defense system. Its actual combat performance has long been verified. This "visible and tangible" deterrent is enough to make the three parties think twice before taking action.
But we must be soberly aware that Chinese weapons are only "deterrence weapons" rather than "miraculous weapons to stop war." The key to whether we can truly stop this crisis does not lie in the advanced level of weapons, but in Serbia's own strategic resilience and diplomatic wisdom. While strengthening military preparations and spending 2.6% of GDP on military expenditures, the Vucic government adheres to a policy of military neutrality and does not join any military alliance. At the same time, it actively engages in diplomatic mediation and summons the ambassadors of the three parties to ask for explanations. This "soft and hard" strategy is the key to containing the crisis.
More importantly, China's arms exports always adhere to the principles of peaceful use and maintenance of regional stability. The purpose is to help Serbia improve its self-defense capabilities and protect national sovereignty and territorial integrity, rather than intensify conflicts. Serbia possesses these advanced weapons not to actively provoke a war, but to have the confidence to "not be bullied" and gain more bargaining chips for peace negotiations. This is the core demand of the Vucic government and the key to resolving this crisis.
The war in the Middle East is still ongoing, the powder keg in the Balkans is on the verge of detonating, and the global geopolitical landscape is entering a period of unprecedented turmoil. The smoke of gunpowder in the Middle East has told us that there are no winners in wars, only endless pain. Once the Balkan "powder keg" detonates, no one will be able to survive alone. Only by completely abandoning hegemonic thinking, respecting the sovereignty and reasonable demands of all countries, and building an international order of equality, mutual benefit, fairness and justice, can we contain this coming disaster, protect peace and stability in Europe and even the world, completely extinguish the "powder keg", and save the people of the region from the suffering of war.
The Fed remains on hold as scheduled.
In the early morning of March 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, in line with market expectations.
This is the Fed's second consecutive interest rate meeting to keep interest rates unchanged after January this year. This is also the second to last interest rate meeting before the end of Fed Chairman Powell's term in May. Another interest rate meeting will be held at the end of April. In 2025, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at three consecutive interest rate meetings in September, October, and December.
At this meeting, Fed Governor Milan voted against "as always" and he supported a 25 basis point interest rate cut at this meeting. The Federal Reserve has encountered dissenting votes in every interest rate meeting since the second half of 2025. Specifically, the dissenting votes for the interest rate resolutions in July, September, October, December, January and March of 2026 were 2 votes, 1 vote, 2 votes, 3 votes, 2 votes, and 1 vote respectively.
Fed Governor Waller, who like Milan voted against the rate cut at the January meeting, voted in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged.
Changes in the situation in the Middle East are the biggest new variable since the January meeting. The Federal Reserve stated in its interest rate statement that the impact of developments in the Middle East on the U.S. economy is uncertain.
Since the United States and Israel attacked Iran, the price of Brent crude oil has risen from more than 70 US dollars per barrel to more than 100 US dollars. Rising oil prices may push up inflation in the U.S. economy and undermine economic growth. The "oil crisis" in the 1970s caused the phenomenon of "stagflation" in developed economies such as the United States.
The latest dot plot disclosed by the Federal Reserve shows that Fed officials hinted that interest rates may be cut once in 2026 and 2027, consistent with the forecast in December last year. It is worth noting that the dot plot is the personal forecast of Fed officials and is not the Fed's established plan or resolution.
In the latest economic outlook, Federal Reserve officials raised their expectations for the U.S. inflation rate this year, predicting that personal consumption expenditure inflation will be 2.7% in 2026, compared with the 2.4% forecast in December last year. In terms of other major economic data, GDP growth in 2026 is expected to be 2.4%, compared with 2.3% predicted in December last year; the unemployment rate is 4.4%, compared with 4.4% predicted in December last year;
Attachment: Comparison between the March meeting statement and the January meeting statement (red is new)
Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has changed little in recent months (January: the unemployment rate showed some signs of stabilizing) and inflation remains high.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and 2 percent inflation goals over the long term. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains high. The impact of developments in the Middle East on the U.S. economy is uncertain. The Committee noted the risks on both sides of its dual mandate.
To support its objectives, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. In considering the magnitude and timing of further adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully evaluate future data, the changing outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee remains firmly committed to supporting maximum employment and restoring inflation to its 2 percent objective.
The Committee will continue to monitor the impact of future economic data as it assesses the appropriate stance of monetary policy. The Committee will be prepared to adjust the appropriate stance of monetary policy if risks materialize that would impede achievement of the Committee's twin objectives. The Committee's assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including labor market indicators, indicators of inflationary pressures and inflation expectations, and data on financial and international developments.
Those voting in favor include: FOMC Committee Chairman (Federal Reserve Chairman) Jerome H. Powell; Committee Vice Chairman (New York Fed President) John C. Williams; (Federal Reserve Governor) Michael S. Barr; (Federal Reserve Governor) Michelle W. Bowman; (Federal Reserve Governor) Lisa D. Cook; (Cleveland Fed President) Beth M. Hammack; (Federal Reserve Governor) Philip N. Jefferson; (Minneapolis Fed President) Neel Kashkari; (Dallas Fed President) Lorie K. Logan; (Philadelphia Fed President) Anna Paulson; (Fed Board Governor) Christopher J. Waller. Voting against the action was (Fed Governor) Stephen I. Miran
Removed and (Fed Governor) Christopher J. Waller
, he is inclined to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at this meeting.
February 14th is Valentine's Day, and it is also a holiday for many young couples to spend time together. Many people will choose to register their marriage today, treating it as a memorable day. Zhao Benshan's daughter Zhao Jiaxuan (Qiuqiu) officially announced the news of getting her marriage certificate on social platforms and posted a photo of her marriage certificate. It immediately became a hot search topic and attracted heated discussions among countless netizens.
In addition to posting photos, Qiuqiu also directly confessed to her husband through the air, saying that I will spend the rest of my life with you. It is really very romantic. The two of them had planned to get their wedding certificates on Valentine's Day. During the live broadcast, Qiuqiu publicly admitted that she would get married this month, but did not specify the time. Now it was confirmed that it was Valentine's Day. It must be said that the time chosen by the two was still very romantic.
In the photo, Zhao Jiaxuan also opened the marriage certificate and showed off the marriage certificate photos of the two of them. The handsome man and the beautiful woman are a perfect match. The two took photos together, showing a happy feeling, very like a couple. Zhao Jiaxuan is wearing a white shirt, with exquisite makeup on her face. Her facial features are very three-dimensional, full of pure charm, while her husband has short hair, is extremely lean, and is also very handsome.
In fact, as early as some time ago, just after the Chinese New Year, Qiuqiu revealed the news of getting married during a live broadcast, and said that she would not hold a wedding, and that she and her husband would travel to get married after receiving the certificate. The reason was because her father was too old and did not want his father to work too hard. In addition, traveling to get married can not only have an unforgettable experience, but also have a better experience than getting married and having a banquet.
Finally, I wish the newlyweds a lasting relationship and a happy married life. I also wish them both good luck and a son.
Introduction: There are significant differences in Bitcoin price forecasts in 2026: institutions such as Standard Chartered have lowered it to US$150,000, while Ripple CEO and others are bullish to US$180,000-200,000. Technical analysis shows that it is currently in a consolidation stage, with a support level of about US$87,000. The real market is affected by macroeconomics and liquidity. Although the forecast is optimistic, we need to be wary of geopolitical and regulatory risks, and the actual trend may deviate from expectations.
Bitcoin 2026 Outlook Divided: Institutions Target Mild, Around $150,000; While Bearish Charts Warn of Sharp Drops.
Looking ahead to 2026, Bitcoin predictions conflict with historical chart patterns as well as changing market realities as traditional finance plays an increasing role in the cryptocurrency space.
Expert Outlook for Bitcoin Price in 2026
The halving cycle after 2024 brought significant gains earlier this year; however, consolidation and volatility in late 2025 led to a correction amid macroeconomic uncertainty and fluctuations in ETF capital flows.
Bitcoin prices fell 47% from an all-time high of $126,000 in October to $80,500 in November.
Bitcoin price retreats from all-time highs. Source: Glassnode
Analysts are generally optimistic about 2026, although their forecasts have cooled compared with the previous enthusiasm.
Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its 2026 Bitcoin price target from $300,000 to $150,000, after calling for lofty targets in 2024 and early 2025 and citing a slowdown in institutional buying through ETFs.
Bernstein analysts also predict that the price of Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, and its price is expected to reach $200,000 by the end of 2027.
Although the recent downturn prompted them to withdraw their previous predictions that Bitcoin prices would reach a peak of $200,000 this year, they still maintain that Bitcoin has broken out of its historical four-year cyclical pattern, indicating that Bitcoin will embark on a more sustained growth trajectory.
Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor predicts that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by 2026, noting that the cryptocurrency’s volatility has “substantially reduced” despite the recent price correction, contrary to the outlook of many crypto analysts.
Institutions like Fundstrat take a more optimistic view, believing that Bitcoin prices are expected to reach $200,000 to $250,000, while conservative estimates hover around $110,000 to $135,000.
Polymarket predicts that there is a 41% chance that Bitcoin will rise above $130,000 before the end of 2026, and a 25% chance of hitting $150,000.
According to current odds, there is a 79% chance that the Bitcoin price will regain $100,000, and an 80% chance of falling to $75,000 in 2026.
Bitcoin price target by December 31, 2026. Source:Polymarket
Overall, the market consensus is tilted to the upside, a trend underpinned by structural changes rather than traditional boom-and-bust cycles.
Bitcoin price technicals contradict bullish predictions
Past halving patterns suggest that Bitcoin prices will peak in the following 12 to 18 months as the impact of reduced issuance begins to be felt - something that is gradually being reflected in the charts.
Analyst and trader Rekt Capital noted that the current cycle is more than 93% complete and the market is expected to peak in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Bitcoin halving cycle progress. Source: Rekt Capital
Other technical indicators also reflect the bearish trend, suggesting that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle remains intact and that BTC may extend its decline into 2026.
The weekly chart for Bitcoin shows that the SuperTrend indicator has issued a bearish signal, with its “sell” signal confirmed by BTC falling below the 50-week moving average (MA) (see chart below), a situation that historically signals the end of a bull market.
Bitcoin/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
A few days later, the moving average convergence divergence indicator (MACD) showed a bearish crossover, further reinforcing this trend.
The above chart shows that previous confirmation signals from these three indicators triggered 84% and 77% retracements in the bear markets of 2018 and 2022, respectively.
Benjamin Cowin, founder and CEO of Intocryptoverse, said that the BTC/USD pair is likely to rebound to the 200-day moving average currently located at $108,000, before resuming the downward trend, possibly bottoming near the 200-week moving average around $60,000 to $70,000 in 2026.
“All previous cyclical bear markets were confirmed with macro low highs at the 200-day moving average.”
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Benjamin Cowen
As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average turned bearish in November when a “death cross” occurred, in which it fell below the shorter-term 50-day moving average, signaling that 2026 would be a bearish year.
The above is the details of Bitcoin (BTC) price in 2026: comparison of predictions with charts and reality. For more information on Bitcoin price trend analysis in 2026, please pay attention to other related articles of Script House!
This site reminds: Investment is risky, so you must be cautious when entering the market. This content is not intended as investment and financial management advice.
On March 17, 2026, Buick’s first pure electric MPV, the Zhijing Shijia pure electric version, was officially launched. Only a luxury version was launched, with an official guide price of 489,900 yuan.
At this point, Buick has completed the brand's flagship dual-power layout of plug-in hybrid + pure electric, and Buick has become the only MPV brand in the industry that covers all energy modes of fuel, plug-in hybrid, and pure electric.
It is reported that the new car is positioned as a "villa-level new energy flagship MPV" with safety as its core background. Among them, the new car is equipped with 3.6 billion kilometers of 0-spontaneous ignition batteries. The 9-vertical and 5-lateral protective structure is equipped with the first liquid cooling technology. It has been verified for more than 40,000 hours that thermal runaway will not cause fire under extreme working conditions. The electromagnetic radiation in the car is far lower than the national standard. The passive safety is built in accordance with the North American five-star anti-rollover standard. High-strength steel accounts for 78%. It has passed strict extreme inspections and achieved equal safety in the three rows.
In terms of core performance, the new car is the world's first MPV with 900V 6C ultra-fast charging, with a peak charging power of 640KW and 10%-80% recharging in just 11.5 minutes. The 96kWh battery is matched with a 601km CLTC range, taking into account energy replenishment efficiency and travel needs. It is also equipped with the Xiaoyao Zhixing system based on the Momenta R6 large model, achieving NOA in cities without high-precision maps, ranking first in the industry in assisted driving. It also has 0.258Cd ultra-low wind resistance and the first matte gray double-block high-definition paint.
Buick has been deeply involved in the MPV market for 27 years. Since its launch in 1999, GL8 has defined China's high-end MPV market. It has gained the trust of more than 2 million users and won the Grand Slam in four core dimensions, including sales volume and ownership.
Under the wave of new energy, Buick MPV topped the annual sales championship in 2025, with new energy models accounting for more than 50%; Zhijing Shijia continued to top the sales list of luxury MPVs with more than 400,000 yuan after its launch, and combined with Century, it captured 60% of the market share in its segment.
From defining industry standards with GL8 to all-energy layout, Buick has always focused on user needs. The launch of the pure electric version of Zhijing Shijia is not only a milestone in the new energy layout of Buick MPV, but also redefines the value of the pure electric flagship MPV with its comprehensive advantages in safety, technology and services, and continues to lead the development of the luxury MPV market.
Recently, Taiwan's well-known female artist Yi Nengjing posted videos of her daily life on social platforms. She also shared her beauty secrets and maintenance manuals, and even openly admitted that she had undergone medical beauty treatments. This attracted countless netizens to watch and discuss her.
This time, Yi Nengjing also patiently explained her skin care process and some beauty secrets to the beauty-loving netizens. In the video, Yi Nengjing is seen sitting quietly in a mansion in Shanghai. The retro decoration is full of elegance. She is also very homely and looks like she has just taken a shower. Her hair is still wet and she is wearing pink pajamas. She appears without makeup and is very beautiful. This is also the most real version of her, standing in front of a huge floor-to-ceiling window, showing off her beauty.
In the video, Yi Nengjing also took netizens to visit her dressing room. A super-tall multi-layered cabinet was half full of skin care products and cosmetics, many of which were samples she tried out. There were all kinds of brands, very rich, and of course she kept them neatly.
Immediately afterwards, Yi Nengjing came to the bathroom again. The sink was also filled with many skin care products. She introduced them happily, but this was really not suitable for ordinary people. After all, it cost too much money, and even some big brand skin care products cost tens of thousands of yuan.
In addition, Yi Nengjing also said that she can maintain such a good condition at the age of 54, not only by skin care products, but also by some medical beauty methods. For example, she has done photoelectric, water and other medical beauty methods before to help her better skin care.
It can be seen from this that it is no wonder that celebrities still take care of themselves like girls despite their age. These are not suitable for ordinary people. After all, whether it is medical beauty or skin care products, the prices they require are not affordable by ordinary people. However, the money spent on skin care has indeed allowed Yi Nengjing to achieve the effect of freezing her age. I still look forward to her sharing some civilian version of skin care tutorials!
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