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A few days ago, Trump revealed to the media that he may withdraw from Iran within the next two to three weeks. He claimed that because Iran had achieved its goal of "not possessing nuclear weapons", the US military had entered the final stage. As for the Strait of Hormuz, which has not yet been successfully opened to navigation, Trump vaguely stated that it has nothing to do with the United States. Although the United States and Iran each hold their own opinions about the actual situation of the war, it is obvious that the United States' intention to retreat is already clear.
The United States originally planned to take down Iran in a short period of time and achieve a comprehensive victory, but now it has obviously exceeded expectations. Iran's "small to gain big" approach has made the United States suffer more and more losses. If this continues, not only will the United States' ammunition arsenal be bottomed out, but its military expenditures will also be unable to sustain it. Judging from Trump's "businessman status", he would never be willing to make a loss-making deal, so he left two "dead ends" for the world and wanted to count the money on the international community.
Strait of Hormuz
Trump posted on social media that he would give two suggestions to all countries affected by the situation in the Middle East. The first is to buy oil from the United States, and the second is to go to the Strait of Hormuz and grab it himself. For the international community, both of these are dead ends. Apart from sending money to the United States, it means getting involved in the war.
Trump’s calculations are very loud. Which of the aircraft carriers, bases and troops stationed in Iran does not cost money? But who will ultimately bear these costs? If more countries can be forced to rely on American oil, it will be equivalent to letting the world help share the strategic costs of the United States in the Middle East. What's even better is that if a country leader really chooses the second path and goes to the Strait of Hormuz to "grab oil" on his own, he will have to get involved in a regional conflict. At that time, he will either send troops and burn money, or he will ask for U.S. protection, or he will still have to pay.
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The United States wants to use oil leverage to make money and share strategic costs, while also consolidating its global dominance. Someone has to clean up the mess in Iran now. This wishful thinking will most likely fail. After all, no country is willing to be the "taken advantage of" at the mercy of others. The most important thing is that for Trump, the most difficult hurdle is actually at home. A few days ago, the White House stated that Trump would deliver a national address to provide an important update on the Iran issue.
When we first said we would attack Iran, there were a lot of people in the United States who were not happy. But the battle was still fought. Planes take off, missiles are launched, and money is spent like water. As a result, Iran refused to relent, the regional situation became even more chaotic, and the international image of the United States fell again. President Trump patted his chest and said that he would make the United States "win, win, win." This situation is very difficult now. What the people want is not nice words, but real results.
US military launches missile
The American people themselves do not support provoking conflicts, but now that the matter is over, they must either win decisively or stop messing around. This embarrassing situation of fighting and failing to win, and retreating and retreating without a clear answer, is the most uncomfortable situation. Americans' patience is limited, and so are America's resources. Trump’s wanton behavior has created a big hole.
If Trump wants to keep his position as president, he must carefully consider whether the United States needs a clear mind or a reckless fist. The situation in Iran has developed to this point, and the entire international community is paying attention. It depends on whether Trump can overcome this difficulty.
